Fantasy Football ADP Risers And Fallers: Looking Up For Quentin Johnston

Welcome to the third edition of the weekly Underdog Risers and Fallers piece. If you missed the first or second installment, we’re going to look at some of the players with the biggest changes in price tag over the past seven days using our ADP tool. Players will continue to move all throughout the offseason, so having the most up-to-date information is vital regardless of where you’re drafting.

Let’s dive into some of the biggest changes over the past week.

Underdog Best Ball ADP Risers

Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | WR (+7.3 spots)

Adonai Mitchell has been a winner in each of the first two weeks, and his price tag is up once again for Week 3. His ADP has crept up to 185 on Underdog, good for WR75.

The big question is, should you still be looking at him at that figure? Our expert rankings have him as the consensus WR79, and only Kendall Valenzuela has him above WR75.

That said, it’s hard not to have some interest in him. The reports out of the Jets’ OTAs have been glowing. The Athletic’s Zack Rosenblatt previously reported that Mitchell could be a “crucial piece” of the team’s offense and that he is “locked in” to the No. 2 receiver role. He has also reportedly been building chemistry with new quarterback Geno Smith.

After arriving in New York last season, Mitchell put his upside on display. He posted a ridiculous 51% air yards share from Week 11 on, and only Michael Wilson accumulated more air yards overall during that timeframe. Of course, that stretch did come with Garrett Wilson on the sidelines, and he profiles as the team’s alpha receiver in 2026.

Still, Mitchell’s ability to stretch the field could lead to some spike weeks at a bare minimum, and those types of players are inherently valuable in best ball. I’m still very happy to pay his current price tag, and if the reports out of Jets camp stay positive, his price tag should only continue to rise.

Quentin Johnston | LAC | WR (+4.6 spots)

After a massively disappointing rookie season, Quentin Johnston is coming off back-to-back quality campaigns. He’s yet to crack the 1,000-yard threshold, but he’s had 8 touchdowns in each of the past two seasons. He’s done that despite missing time in both campaigns, including three games last year.

The Chargers’ passing attack also has a handful of targets up for grabs next year. Keenan Allen was a massive part of the equation last season, leading the squad with a 23% target share. He ultimately finished with 122 targets and 81 receptions, and that production is going to have to go somewhere. There’s still a chance that Allen ends up back in Los Angeles for next season, but there are other suitors for the veteran pass catcher as well.

Johnston was already a nearly every-down receiver last season, and the removal of Allen could result in more opportunities. The big plays and touchdowns are already there; he just needs a bit more consistency. That could come in his fourth season.

Additionally, last year’s second-round pick, Tre Harris, could also be thrust into a bigger role. He’s another player whose price tag has jumped the past seven days (+3.4 spots), and he’s an intriguing sleeper at a much cheaper cost.

Jaylin Noel | HOU | WR (+3.5 spots)

Unlike with the Chargers, the Texans’ depth chart at receiver should be a bit more crowded next season. Specifically, they’re expected to get back Tank Dell after missing all of last season. Dell was explosive as a rookie, racking up 709 yards and 7 touchdowns on just 75 targets, so that’s an exciting proposition.

With Nico Collins and Jayden Higgins already ahead of him on the depth chart, it leaves Noel with an uncertain role to start the year. He didn’t have a ton of opportunities as a rookie, which theoretically leaves him as the No. 4 receiver in their offense.

However, the beat reporters are telling a different story. Noel has drawn plenty of praise throughout OTAs, and Sports Illustrated’s Jared Koch believes that the team is prepping him for a “significant role” this season. He profiles as the team’s starting slot receiver, with Dell more of a threat to Higgins’ role on the outside.

Noel is the perfect example of a player to buy early during the summer. He’s currently going outside of the top 200 picks, but if his positive momentum continues, he could be significantly more expensive closer to the start of the season.

Underdog Best Ball ADP Fallers

Ted Hurst | WR | TB (-6.9 spots)

Ted Hurst has some dynasty appeal, but it’s hard to get too excited about him in redraft leagues. He has an uphill battle just to get on the field as a rookie. The Buccaneers have three established players ahead of Hurst on the depth chart (Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan), so he’ll have to compete with Tez Johnson and Kameron Johnson for backup responsibilities. Tez, in particular, flashed at times last year, so it’s far from a certainty that Hurst is able to beat him out.

With that in mind, it’s not surprising that no player has seen a bigger drop over the past week on Underdog. Hurst is down nearly seven spots, though he’s still going inside the top 200 picks. Our rankers have him as the consensus WR89 for the year, so he’s still seemingly going too early at WR77.

Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN (-3.9 spots)

Singleton is another rookie who stacks up better for dynasty leagues than best ball and redraft leagues as a rookie. He has Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears ahead of him on the depth chart, but both players will be free agents at the end of the year. It’s easy to imagine a scenario where Singleton is the team’s starting RB in 2027, but he’ll likely need a couple of injuries to earn that designation this season.

Josh Jacobs | RB | GB (-2.0 spots)

The Josh Jacobs situation is a messy one. He has been accused of some horrific stuff, but there have been no charges officially filed against him at this point. That could still be in the cards, and some sort of discipline from the NFL could also be handed out.

It makes Jacobs an extremely risky option in the early rounds, which has led to a slight reduction in price tag. Taking him completely off your board is justifiable, while getting some exposure to backup MarShawn Lloyd makes a lot of sense. Lloyd’s price tag is only up slightly (+2.6 spots), even though he could be looking at a significant role in 2026.